No position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $32.76
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $6.76
Polymarket Trader
0xa9d8...e47c
0xa9d803be5584906c71315b2f7a9ea0564fe2e47c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $77.22
- Realized PnL
- -$9.33
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $36.02
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.75
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.82
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $12.01
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$8.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 7 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.6% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 7.7% 20 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 92.4% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.4% 6 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 8.1% 22 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 92.3% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 93.4% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 22% 26 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.8% 13 shares