Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- User PnL
- -$37.95
Polymarket Trader
0xA9Dc3b13E78b67B7C7666B09ad8D12112eBC01C9-1761017524058
0xa9dc3b13e78b67b7c7666b09ad8d12112ebc01c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $485.65
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$259.39
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$160.6
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$83.49
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- User PnL
- -$182.6
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $157.55
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$144.75
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $65.79
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $938.58
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $21.78
Yes position
Iran leadership change by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $40.11
- Potential payout
- $935
- Potential profit
- $894.89
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$20.44
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $663.49
- Potential profit
- $663.49
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $628.43
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $21.78
- Potential payout
- $615.29
- Potential profit
- $593.5
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.99
- Potential profit
- $526.99
- User PnL
- -$53.07
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $84.15
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $425.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.01
- Potential profit
- $430.01
- User PnL
- -$20.21
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $20.64
- Potential payout
- $417
- Potential profit
- $396.36
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $407.78
- Potential profit
- $407.78
- User PnL
- -$10.89
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $18.17
- Potential payout
- $395
- Potential profit
- $376.83
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $11.84
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $218.16
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $12.65
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $217.35
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $229.89
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $220.91
- Potential profit
- $212.85
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Current value
- $43.32
- Potential payout
- $215
- Potential profit
- $171.68
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.26
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.82
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.16
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.22
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.97
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.25
No position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 3.8% 526 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.8% 417 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 17% 120 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by July 31?Yes 4.7% 430 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.7% 430 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?No 49% 50 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?No 49% 50 shares
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3% 560 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 1,060 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 596.93 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?No 30% 35 shares