No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $99.03
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $45.83
Polymarket Trader
lokx
0xa9e6e64471809b7cd9e7bb3b741e83197bb596e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.76K
- Realized PnL
- $501.16
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $768.81
- Potential payout
- $768.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $169.14
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $508.01
- Potential payout
- $539
- Potential profit
- $30.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $46.14
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $215.49
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $173.25
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $11.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.1%
- Current value
- $25.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74.95
- Multiplier
- 3.99x
- User PnL
- -$69.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.35
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $378.09
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.93
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.6
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.85
No position
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.91
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.65
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.54
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.4
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105
ETH position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$129.1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$202.35
No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$710.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 78% 768.81 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.1% 600 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.8% 220 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91.6% 185 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 68% 600 shares
- Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes 80% 990 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes 75% 645 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 96.9% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 91% 665 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 88% 439 shares
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No 89% 500 shares