Yes position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $20.72
- Potential payout
- $96.35
- Potential profit
- $75.63
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Polymarket Trader
seldix
0xa9ec8922c08a96349f58f9db3c550e6e27c5ac3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $534
- Realized PnL
- -$3.67
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $88.28
- Potential profit
- $31.34
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.9%
- Current value
- $52.7
- Potential payout
- $67.69
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $43.08
- Potential payout
- $64.78
- Potential profit
- $21.7
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.81
- Potential payout
- $60.35
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $57.03
- Potential payout
- $59.01
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $51.48
- Potential payout
- $56.26
- Potential profit
- $4.78
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $30.08
- Potential payout
- $48.51
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $39.09
- Potential payout
- $41.37
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $36.79
- Potential payout
- $39.35
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $32.44
- Potential payout
- $36.66
- Potential profit
- $4.22
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $28.29
- Potential payout
- $35.14
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $19.02
- Potential payout
- $26.24
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $16.72
- Potential profit
- $4.93
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $6.83
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 88.28 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 77.7% 20.78 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 91% 56.26 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 22% 96.35 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 69% 64.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 35% 49.15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 49.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 61% 48.51 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No 39% 64.48 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 35.14 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 44% 55.07 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 9.82 shares