Polymarket Trader

Wunkles

0xa9f2d6b4a8b0b322ddb2f837c2852c1b47056c8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.1K
Realized PnL: $17.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $4.02
User PnL: $26.66

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $368.42
Potential payout: $441.22
Potential profit: $72.8
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $68.43

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $57.77
Potential payout: $245.83
Potential profit: $188.06
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$92.19

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $186.56
Potential profit: $184.79
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$23.23

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.81
Potential profit: $47.81
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.37K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.65

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.19

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $466.87

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $422.12

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.09

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.33

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $191.83

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.02

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.76

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $170.22

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.39

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.81

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $145.96

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $140.74

Yes position

Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.04

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.7

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.2% 283.96 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 70.9% 200 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 18.7% 38.88 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 70.9% 8.45 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 70.5% 12.5 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 51.2% 752.61 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 93% 150.21 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 84% 58.21 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 81.9% 1,830.12 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 12% 91.42 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 82.9% 301.2 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Yes 96.6% 751.8 shares