Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $64.75
- Potential payout
- $9.25K
- Potential profit
- $9.18K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $54.75
Polymarket Trader
ercipolla30
0xaa029e3c22b679298fdd463bf758246f2b782af0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.75
- Realized PnL
- $961.03
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.3
- Potential profit
- $338.3
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.27
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.83
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.08
No position
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.54
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.23
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.42
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.93
No position
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 9,249.39 shares
- Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 1.5% 338.3 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes 0.6% 6,594.93 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes 1.4% 2,017.61 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Yes 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes 0.1% 44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 10?Yes 6% 50 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.5% 1,400 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes 2.3% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 1?Yes 7% 18.61 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes 3% 420 shares