Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $80.05
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $28.56
Polymarket Trader
jofo
0xaa041cdd6f991d588f8f387e7f1046a82d9a66e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.35
- Realized PnL
- $1.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $714.99
- Potential profit
- $714.99
- User PnL
- -$142.94
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$324
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.03
- Potential profit
- $308.03
- User PnL
- -$141.69
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $300.01
- User PnL
- -$57.55
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $41.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $158.5
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $11.9
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.99
- Potential profit
- $146.99
- User PnL
- -$16.74
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.39
- Potential profit
- $124.39
- User PnL
- -$59.71
No position
Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $44.8
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.51
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.99
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.19
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.04
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.58
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.01
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.19
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.38
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.94
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.25
No position
Bitcoin all time high before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.65
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.63
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.47
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.71
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.76
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.19
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.61
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.13
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?No 80.4% 56 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 81% 400 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Yes 20% 714.54 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?No 9.9% 49.9 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 56.8% 211.11 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 27% 210 shares
- Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?No 75% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Yes 56% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?No 87% 8.8 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes 5.9% 612.5 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?Yes 50% 100 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 11.8% 253 shares