Polymarket Trader

Kaelthos

@pifmathon

0xaa0ee6e1a8bf8224c2d9fbcf4b31603957096637

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.73
Realized PnL: -$3.76
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $25.73
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 3,431.25 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 59% 1.69 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.1% 200 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 27.2% 77.99 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 39.2% 57 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 22% 28 shares
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 3,163.33 shares
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.9% 3,163.33 shares
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 25% 86.34 shares
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 23% 86.35 shares