Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $146.54
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $46.54
Polymarket Trader
0xaa1B0D3D847B1C736a73C2c93d5fDD49C9c180CD-1778540474526
0xaa1b0d3d847b1c736a73c2c93d5fdd49c9c180cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.87
- Realized PnL
- $167.67
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.15
- Potential profit
- $95.15
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.7%
- Current value
- $49.83
- Potential payout
- $84.89
- Potential profit
- $35.06
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.77
- Potential profit
- $64.77
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.82
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.82
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.16
No position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 58.9% 84.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 65% 153.85 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No 66.9% 302.89 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No 70.7% 302.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 27% 214.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 97.5% 59.37 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No 64% 59.38 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 16.8% 224.92 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No 21.8% 224.92 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 37.2% 131.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 22% 131.82 shares