Polymarket Trader

0x43aE75c8Ad4d5E5105c8627F459293E4eD604798-1773863441912

0xaa22cbf7563653bea66e6f8438d8ec1458388f42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.11
Realized PnL: $127.67
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $23.74
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$6.57

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $14.47
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $1.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.97

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $8.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.79
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.16

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.98

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

Magic position

Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.37

No position

Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Édgar Cháirez position

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

No position

Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Barcelona position

Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Nuno Borges position

Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Canucks

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Under position

Eyüpspor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

New York Yankees position

Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Hurricanes position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Kings position

Kings vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Édgar Cháirez 48% 10.42 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 75% 7.89 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees

New York Yankees 66% 6.06 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 8 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Yes 12.9% 6.5 shares
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahce

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 28% 6.83 shares
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Yes 4% 15.34 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Yes 9.7% 3.5 shares
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Liverpool FC 22% 21.9 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Yes 75% 10.34 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Yes 2.7% 12.7 shares