Polymarket Trader

0xaa3F32C865Cf63860f774a38EbAbA8549ea82d8B-1773605917703

0xaa3f32c865cf63860f774a38ebaba8549ea82d8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $500.83
Realized PnL: $133.45
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $416.79
Potential payout: $958.13
Potential profit: $541.34
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$183.21

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $161.77
Potential profit: $159.91
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $21.34
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $94.94
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $81.25
Potential profit: $79.19
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$18.94

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $40.92
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $20.62
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.42
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.01
Potential profit: $53.01
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $49.66
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.19
Potential profit: $34.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $24.79
Potential profit: $21.78
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $10.05
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-14 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $10.05
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.06
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.07

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Yes position

Will Anish Giri vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will Yi Wei vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.89

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 12.1% 24.79 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 8 shares
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes 43.4% 230.55 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 52.63 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Yes 26% 11.54 shares
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes 68.7% 727.58 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 4.2% 70.86 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 40% 50 shares