0xaa4f...b174

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $28.26
Potential payout: $3.77K
Potential profit: $3.74K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $65.96
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.33K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $8.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $588.31
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$288.3

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $466.67
Potential profit: $459.9
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.95
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $67.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $132.1
Multiplier: 2.95x
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $99.42
Potential payout: $172.91
Potential profit: $73.49
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $34.39
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $66.61
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$10.55

Yes position

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $17.59
Potential payout: $90.19
Potential profit: $72.6
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$39.01

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $70.35
Potential payout: $89.62
Potential profit: $19.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $36.91

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $87.83
Potential profit: $84.67
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$34.7

No position

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $70.6
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $34.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $57.42
Potential payout: $57.82
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $7.63
Potential payout: $47.67
Potential profit: $40.05
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.65

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $28.56
Potential payout: $28.86
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $18.28
Potential payout: $20.42
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Solana reach $90 in June?

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Solana dip to $50 in June?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Under position

RCA Zemamra vs. OC Safi: OC Safi 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.6

Under position

COD Meknès vs. HUS Agadir: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $0.49

Under position

RCA Zemamra vs. OC Safi: OC Safi O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.66K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 62.6%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $244.41

Under position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.38

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.14

Lea Nilsson position

ITF Ystad: Lea Nilsson vs Madison Sieg

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.09

No position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $81.01

Boston Red Sox position

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.46

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.73

Toronto Blue Jays position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.02

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.63

Under position

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.57

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.78

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.2

Under position

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.49

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.88

San Diego Padres position

San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Cincinnati Reds position

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Tampa Bay Rays position

Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.7

Colorado Rockies position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?