No position
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $96.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
tugoserya
0xaa63b948bf45a6927ded61c850affc2d263b1546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $284.88
- Realized PnL
- $6.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $48.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $49.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $48.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.73
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99% 20 shares