Polymarket Trader

xebir

0xaa65ca365cbbe89bb1649757b0ef47bed9cb1021

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $994.5
Realized PnL: $26.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$3.1K

Yes position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$1.62K

G2 Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.83K
User PnL: -$1.86K

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$1.04K

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $994.5
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $305.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.81

Cristian Garin position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Martin Damm

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$702.55

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$536

Alycia Parks position

Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Li

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.48
Potential profit: $592.48
User PnL: -$266.62

Grigor Dimitrov position

Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $591
Potential profit: $591
User PnL: -$295.5

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$165

Yes position

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$180

Lloyd Harris position

Madrid Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Lloyd Harris

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$117

Sebastian Baez position

Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.24
Potential profit: $279.24
User PnL: -$198.26

Yes position

Will SC União Torreense vs. AD Fafe end in a draw?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.3
Potential profit: $240.3
User PnL: -$98.23

G2 Esports position

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.19
Potential profit: $96.19
User PnL: -$37.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94K

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875.7

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.25

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.49

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.23

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.6

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.92

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.75

Yes position

Will FalleN retire by June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.36

Yes position

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.58

Ben Shelton position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.65

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.47

Aurora Gaming position

Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.74

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.51

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.21

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.88

Monte position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.46

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.5

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 82.5% 300 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 79.1% 400 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

No 71.5% 600 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 99% 4,050.4 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 80% 782.08 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Over 55% 300 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 99.9% 794.99 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 92% 5 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?

Yes 69% 700 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 81.2% 2,668.49 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 40,000 shares