Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
shadows2kb
0xaa660018742c41c3fa8ef19cfe009e4fa8e0ec4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.33
- Realized PnL
- $496.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the match end in a draw?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.39
- Potential profit
- $220.39
- User PnL
- -$19.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.94
- Potential profit
- $160.94
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $27.66
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $78.72
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$22.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Over position
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 50.5
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Hooker position
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $86.96
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.56
- Potential profit
- $80.56
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.11
- Potential profit
- $74.11
- User PnL
- -$40
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.48
- Potential profit
- $72.48
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $66.67
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.51
- Potential profit
- $62.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the April decision?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.6
- Potential profit
- $46.6
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.66
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.08
- Potential profit
- $42.08
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Hobart Hurricanes position
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.44
- Potential profit
- $23.44
- User PnL
- -$15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.79
- Potential profit
- $8.79
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.04
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.75
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.5
Maple Leafs position
Devils vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.5
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
Islanders position
Islanders vs. Blackhawks
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski 60% 66.67 shares
- UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Hooker 23% 86.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 56% 8.79 shares
- UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje 99.9% 103.78 shares
- UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje 75% 17.43 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?No 3.7% 50 shares
- UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje 33% 121.21 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?No 10% 50 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes 8.8% 220.39 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes 11% 84.24 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes 12% 185.18 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes 23.7% 84.25 shares