Polymarket Trader

TayfunK

0xaa6666003f6c99e2e3c59969a2c16b67c5c973a8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.08
Realized PnL: $114.88
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Beijing Ducks position

Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332
Potential profit: $332
User PnL: -$8.3

Arsenal FC position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.62
Potential profit: $80.62
User PnL: -$27.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Casper Ruud position

Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $27.28
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$1.24

Katarina Zavatska position

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.1

Justin Engel position

Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbert

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $12.88
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $11.64
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.31

Hugo Gaston position

Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.01

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$3.84

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2.48

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.66

Coco Gauff position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $5.01
User PnL: -$3.61

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.2

Jil Teichmann position

GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbaj

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.92

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Emilio Nava position

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Pedro Martinez

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

Rajasthan Royals position

Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 41% 9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 37% 20 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 18% 26 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 19% 26 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Yes 37% 14.98 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 41% 11 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 9.4% 36 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 31% 15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 50% 10 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 35 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 43% 11 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Yes 15% 33 shares