No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $16.99K
- Potential payout
- $19.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Polymarket Trader
0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017
0xaa7575ba25247c8eb4c23dfeb39b0237fb59a864
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.94K
- Realized PnL
- $67.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $10.55K
- Potential payout
- $10.64K
- Potential profit
- $95.78
- User PnL
- $420.12
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $9.79K
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $93.88
- User PnL
- $837.64
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $9.01K
- Potential payout
- $9.4K
- Potential profit
- $390.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $457.58
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $7.18K
- Potential payout
- $7.33K
- Potential profit
- $150.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $362.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.88K
- Potential payout
- $5.89K
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $5.61K
- Potential payout
- $5.67K
- Potential profit
- $62.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $960.26
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $4.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.85K
- Potential profit
- $336.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $3.82K
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $21.12
- User PnL
- $257.56
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- User PnL
- $261.21
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $126.83
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $170.41
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $27.35
- User PnL
- $206.81
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Current value
- $2.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $407.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $536.02
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $149.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$41.52
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $122.73
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $532.12
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$174.4
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.68K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- User PnL
- $67.82
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.4K
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $200.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $173.41
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $62.16
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $55.36
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $228.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $587.74
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $726.66
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $741.34
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$212.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $825.32
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $635.68
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$197.38
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $8.76
- User PnL
- $66.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.37K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16K
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $110K on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will Solana reach $230 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $908.38
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.88
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $888
Yes position
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $858.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 90.8% 10 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 96.2% 222 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 47.4% 5 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 1,258 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 94.5% 511.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 74% 999 shares
- Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 92% 409.99 shares
- Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 91% 250 shares
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No 94% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 333 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 18?Yes 99.3% 390 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 18?Yes 99.3% 444 shares