Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264
- Potential profit
- $264
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Polymarket Trader
securebet
@germain_marcano
0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.76
- Potential profit
- $186.76
- User PnL
- -$15.22
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$69.15
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.11
- Potential profit
- $66.11
- User PnL
- -$25.12
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.71
- Potential profit
- $62.71
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.29
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Trump position
Who will win young men?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $944.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.29
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.99
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.41
Yes position
Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.89
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 67-68°F on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.6
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.15
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $203.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 26?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?Yes 38% 120 shares
- Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 82% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14?No 29% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?Yes 9.1% 30.29 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 14?Yes 87% 55 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 14?Yes 9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15?Yes 10.5% 61.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 14?No 60% 147 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?Yes 12% 34.72 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 14?No 55.2% 308 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 14?Yes 10.9% 51 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 31% 39.98 shares