Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $365.45
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.51K
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Polymarket Trader
epsilonbonds
0xaa85403962d2cf63e06c124cefc1e5fa21b24d17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $408.1
- Realized PnL
- $3.47K
- Win rate
- 81%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $40.13
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$530.64
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$353.57
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $775.86
- Potential profit
- $775.86
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $731.94
- Potential profit
- $731.94
- User PnL
- -$162.43
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $685.2
- Potential profit
- $685.2
- User PnL
- -$196.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.21
- Potential profit
- $609.21
- User PnL
- -$96.57
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $453.54
- Potential profit
- $453.54
- User PnL
- -$14.28
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $437.24
- Potential profit
- $437.24
- User PnL
- -$20.22
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.84
- Potential profit
- $126.84
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $117.78
- Potential profit
- $115.26
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$17.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.83
No position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.62
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $216.48
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.52
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- $160.12
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.61
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.84
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.92
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $97.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.08
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.53
No position
Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.35
Yes position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.74
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$218.2
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$257.65
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$802.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.6% 1,064.87 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 85.2% 1,219 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 28.5% 5,003.74 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 85% 2,283.87 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 23% 464.51 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 25.3% 5,003.74 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 19.3% 7,773.52 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 22% 1,078.14 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 27% 6,904.52 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 27% 64 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 15% 13,768.4 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 23% 585.03 shares