Polymarket Trader

tradebtc

0xaa8d8adf77ce386bf167fea25e5924c6c1fafc01

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $651.89
Realized PnL: $4.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $622.58
Potential payout: $764
Potential profit: $141.42
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $22.66
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $16.1
Potential profit: $11.19
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$5.39

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $545.75

Yes position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.28

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287

Yes position

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $280.03

Yes position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240.59

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.88

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.52

Yes position

Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.45

Under position

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.22

Yes position

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.8

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.6

Southern Illinois Salukis position

Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.77

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.56

No position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.93

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $131.68

Yes position

Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.41

Yes position

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $120.36

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.75

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.38

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Passover" or "Easter" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105

No position

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.84

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

No 77% 645 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 57 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 23% 342 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 97 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 22% 27 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score

No 47% 240 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score

No 47% 576 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

No 69% 292 shares
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

No 85% 645 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

No 84% 523 shares
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score

No 49% 816 shares
Will any of the stolen KitKats be recovered by April 30?

No 89% 239 shares