No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $66
- User PnL
- -$42.9
Polymarket Trader
RedScorpion55
0xaa92f71ecad8b17f775707335e5a316369d56328
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $94.76
- Realized PnL
- -$14.47
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $54.76
- Potential payout
- $57.73
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $49.76
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65% 66 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No 84% 40 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 29% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No 90% 39.37 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 8.7% 57.73 shares
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes 75% 33.33 shares
- Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No 53.6% 74.57 shares
- Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No 43% 23.26 shares