Polymarket Trader

0xaa92...ff3b

0xaa92fa8bb175343d027bccb3b465d2c32489ff3b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $4.07
Realized PnL: $79.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.8
Potential profit: $13.8
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 Greater China revenue be above $1.1B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will NIKE Q4 NIKE Branded Footwear revenue be above $6.8B?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 93.2% 89.42 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 77% 89.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 20.1% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 55.1% 14.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 94.7% 18.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 10 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?

Yes 31% 1.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 18.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 84.4% 17.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 2% 3.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 29% 3.45 shares