No position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $501.22
- Potential payout
- $701
- Potential profit
- $199.79
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$80.61
Polymarket Trader
SpencerHayes3244
0xaaa134a3b12f8579689cbd44c3df3a02d3ba827b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $533.74
- Realized PnL
- $2.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.8%
- Current value
- $28.88
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $29.12
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.2%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $491.6
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.59
Southern Jaguars position
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.25
No position
Will Trump say "Kash" or "Patel" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.2
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.21
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.87
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.48
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.72
Yes position
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.66
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils position
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.32
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $82.34
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.06
Yes position
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "Mystery Box" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.2
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $57.16
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.19
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $42.6
No position
Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.82
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.21
No position
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.95
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.3
Yes position
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.54
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.34
No position
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 701 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No 73% 195 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 74% 703 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 73% 703 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?No 73% 618 shares
- Will Trump post "Ceasefire" on Truth Social this week?No 66% 574 shares
- Will Trump post "Ceasefire" on Truth Social this week?No 67% 574 shares
- Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-02?No 59% 652 shares
- Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-04-02?No 66% 652 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 12% 57 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84% 504 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 84% 504 shares