Polymarket Trader

wealldisagree

0xaab29ce85ffe220ef9e8c9167ffa466ff5fba999

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.21K
Realized PnL: $31.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $13.26K
Potential payout: $69.97K
Potential profit: $56.71K
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $3.25K
Potential payout: $69.81K
Potential profit: $66.56K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$322.86

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $625
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.37K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$294.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $6.06K
Potential payout: $40K
Potential profit: $33.94K
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $4.92K
Potential payout: $35.78K
Potential profit: $30.86K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$572.17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $3.15K
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $27.85K
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$263.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $945
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.06K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $315

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $23.61K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$712.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $18.33K
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $210

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $17.7K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $385.06

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $2.64K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $11.93
User PnL: $205.08

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: $94.62

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.07K

1WIN position

Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$819.59

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $685.92
Potential payout: $686.95
Potential profit: $1.03
User PnL: $25.18

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $548.62
Potential payout: $549.99
Potential profit: $1.38
User PnL: $21.17

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$200

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$152

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$76

No position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $314.87
Potential payout: $336.76
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $21.89

Vitality position

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$162

G2 position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.39K

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.22K

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.48

Sharks position

Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.72

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.63

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.99

No position

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $761.59

TheMongolz position

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760

PARIVISION position

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $759.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $746.05

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.52

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $685

Spirit position

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $580

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.09

PARIVISION position

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.4

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.25

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Team Falcons 44% 500 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

G2 25% 1,000 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

No 96.4% 8,549.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Natus Vincere 57% 600 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Natus Vincere 43% 697.67 shares
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 5.2% 3,000 shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

FUT Esports 81% 96.58 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Kiwoom DRX 33.9% 999.98 shares
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Kiwoom DRX 44% 500 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Gen.G 35% 1,000 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Gen.G 35% 600 shares
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

1WIN 66% 756.97 shares