Polymarket Trader

YZ500W

0xaabb71cfe77c3a6f1fa664b9e8d7dd85f0dedaf3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $663.22
Realized PnL: $2.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $56.43
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.79K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $6.47

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$246.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $865
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 28.6%
Current value: $237.3
Potential payout: $830
Potential profit: $592.7
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $36.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $234.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $465.5
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.25
Potential profit: $634.25
User PnL: -$215.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.63
Potential profit: $458.63
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.07
Potential profit: $276.07
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.79
Potential profit: $269.79
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.8

Over position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 24.2% 83.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20% 379 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 29% 140 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 21?

No 55% 42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.2% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.3% 200 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 61% 100 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5

Over 66% 100 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Under 55% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 18% 324.87 shares
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5

Over 57% 100 shares