No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $774
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $426
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $160
Polymarket Trader
bluemangroup
0xaabdff26185925b25bca4d431359dc6b360f0992
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.44K
- Realized PnL
- $794.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $915
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$115
No position
Will Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$220
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $365.72
- Potential payout
- $389.47
- Potential profit
- $23.76
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $201.15
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $28.74
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $44.12
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $13.09
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $99.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.35
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.81
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.25
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.59
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $28.95
No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.17
No position
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $6.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 6.6% 2,600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 229.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 389.47 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 98.1% 61.16 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 98.8% 15.18 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 98.2% 15.27 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 37.63 shares
- Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 8% 110 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 66% 20 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 81% 1,700 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 80% 432 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 5% 60 shares