imteq

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $405.14
Potential payout: $408
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: $39.48

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $234
Potential profit: $231.43
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $96.92
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $34.92
Potential payout: $97
Potential profit: $62.08
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $93
Potential profit: $91.23
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$11.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $74.11
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $73.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $24.59
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $17.31
Potential payout: $17.65
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $14.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $13.24
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $7.03
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 75.4%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.73
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$2.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

No position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0

No position

United States to win the second half?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

United States to win the second half?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?