Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $14.5
Polymarket Trader
rfhbtdhtf
0xaad4e41bbba33471314fd3982f8a563050bed249
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.15K
- Realized PnL
- $859.56
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $810.42
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- -$6.16
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 39% 2,900 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 94.5% 611.1 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 56.6% 380 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 46.9% 10 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 48.1% 420 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 50.1% 420 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 700 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 89.9% 700 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 48.8% 813.44 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes 49.5% 850 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes 20% 1 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 74.7% 800 shares