Polymarket Trader

doggyman

0xaadee650f495ca3c0ffd553cd855ea079e3a8615

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.92
Realized PnL: $14.33
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $521.92
Potential profit: $516.18
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$24.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $372.67
Potential profit: $371.36
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.84
Potential profit: $224.84
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.65
Potential profit: $178.65
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.89
Potential profit: $157.89
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$2

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Powell say "Gold" or "Oil" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $25.63
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $20.63

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $23.86
Potential profit: $19.67
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.64
Potential profit: $21.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $12.81
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $18.5
Potential profit: $18.38
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Japanese" 10+ times during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74
Potential profit: $16.74
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)

No 17% 11.76 shares
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 29)

Yes 43% 6.98 shares
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

No 4.6% 21.64 shares
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Japanese PM?

Yes 19.1% 10.45 shares
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Japanese" 10+ times during events with Japanese PM?

No 11.9% 16.74 shares
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (March 22)

Yes 16% 12.5 shares
Will Trump say "Egghead" this week? (March 22)

Yes 17.5% 11.41 shares
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)

Yes 20% 15 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19?

No 0.9% 222.22 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 19?

No 0.2% 1,000 shares