Polymarket Trader

orange.fognumb

0xaae5dd41b1b6c722f526ed6c47180374476263a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.25
Realized PnL: $453.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bloc Républicain (BR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $102.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $13.3
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.7
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $7.3

Yes position

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.75

North Carolina Central Eagles position

Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-5.5)

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $94.34
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will "EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.75
Potential profit: $51.75
User PnL: -$2.5

Southern Miss Golden Eagles position

Spread: Georgia State Panthers (-1.5)

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Albany Great Danes position

Spread: Albany Great Danes (-3.5)

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Over position

North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 146.5

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Over position

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 160.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.48
Potential profit: $39.48
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Columbia Lions vs. Penn Quakers: O/U 147.5

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Lafayette Leopards vs. Boston Terriers: O/U 146.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Marist Red Foxes position

Siena Saints vs. Marist Red Foxes

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.3
Potential profit: $38.3
User PnL: -$20.7

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.14
Potential profit: $37.14
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.23
Potential profit: $36.23
User PnL: -$2.5

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Lightning

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 150.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.29
Potential profit: $35.29
User PnL: -$18

Canucks position

Lightning vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Blackhawks position

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Avalanche

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.38
Potential profit: $34.38
User PnL: -$11

Blackhawks position

Lightning vs. Blackhawks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Islanders

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.56
Potential profit: $32.56
User PnL: -$14

Utah position

Utah vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$12.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Predators position

Predators vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.33

Blues position

Blues vs. Hurricanes

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.44

Flyers position

Flyers vs. Wild

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Lightning

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Wild

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Blues position

Blues vs. Wild

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Blue Jackets position

Blue Jackets vs. Lightning

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.36

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Wild

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Avalanche

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Sabres

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.65

Over position

UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 140.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Over position

Winthrop Eagles vs. Presbyterian Blue Hose: O/U 146.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Over position

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 155.5

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Kraken position

Kraken vs. Kings

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

SIUE Cougars position

Tennessee State Tigers vs. SIUE Cougars

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.74

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Oilers

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Panthers

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Jets position

Avalanche vs. Jets

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Utah position

Utah vs. Panthers

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.57

UMBC Retrievers position

Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-5.5)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Kraken position

Hurricanes vs. Kraken

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Over position

Oklahoma Sooners vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 149.5

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.96

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Oilers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Over 52% 7.69 shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians 52% 1.92 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

Cincinnati Reds 47% 2.13 shares
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

Athletics 49% 2.04 shares
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies 53% 1.89 shares
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals 45% 2.22 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 58% 3.45 shares
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 57% 3.51 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 60% 3.33 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Over 51% 4.31 shares
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Over 50% 7 shares
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Pittsburgh Pirates 59% 1.69 shares