Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.58
- Potential profit
- $250.58
- User PnL
- -$13
Polymarket Trader
Xanthecd
0xaae67efdfc21a1f2e34907dca5b02e23e4c65147
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.87
- Realized PnL
- $88.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $105.55
- Potential payout
- $124.18
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $13.82
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Solana reach $150 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 124.18 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 34% 13.82 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.3% 55.95 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 25.3% 23.21 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 74% 31.76 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No 94.8% 23.21 shares
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Yes 73.2% 24.59 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 5.2% 250.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 37.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 158.45 shares
- Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?Yes 89% 12.33 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 78.1% 14.05 shares