Polymarket Trader

0xaae9...e36c

0xaae93340f4b47716998af174d97efeb8ec53e36c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.13K
Realized PnL: -$87.95
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $164.88
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.61K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$60.96

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 68.6%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $499.99
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $199.01

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $877.91
Potential payout: $986.42
Potential profit: $108.51
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $76.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.19

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$10.08

Yes position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$19.72

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 87% 167.61 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 69.3% 785.22 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 69% 60.33 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 30% 143.71 shares
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 47,350 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 143.71 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 54.7% 98.74 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 87% 63.82 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 359.71 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 38.1% 245.7 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 1,125.34 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 86.6% 230.76 shares