Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Polymarket Trader
damnl
0xaaf05b62ec12346d9cf9929f6fc3b3a4cc179ef6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $43.82
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.73
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$11.73
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.21
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.63
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 18.2% 512.32 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 41% 3.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 98% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 84.1% 200 shares
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes 67.4% 148.6 shares
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes 69% 222.19 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 49.5% 20.33 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 30% 20.69 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30.3% 489.86 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 36% 706.9 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes 41% 34.83 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 54% 110 shares