Yes position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $19.29
- Potential profit
- $14.17
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Polymarket Trader
BrianChanTC
0xaaf0bf09edb19cce6b2b061db5b24930a477b43a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.94
- Realized PnL
- $19.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be less than 60?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump attend UFC 326?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes 76% 5.5 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 1?No 96% 6.25 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?No 77.8% 1.29 shares
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?Yes 99.6% 1.51 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes 96.2% 4.16 shares
- Will Trump attend UFC 326?No 99.9% 1.26 shares
- Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No 92% 2.05 shares
- Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No 48.7% 2.05 shares
- Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1.06 shares