No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.46
- Potential profit
- $476.46
- User PnL
- -$108.46
Polymarket Trader
lusansan86
0xab08360f6c6eeeacf76038ec79f303d484e48825
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.29
- Realized PnL
- $844.37
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $228.91
- Potential profit
- $228.91
- User PnL
- -$81.97
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.23
- Potential profit
- $186.23
- User PnL
- -$43.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.1
- Potential profit
- $159.1
- User PnL
- -$103.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.27
- Potential profit
- $135.27
- User PnL
- -$61.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.62
- Potential profit
- $66.62
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.24
- Potential profit
- $62.24
- User PnL
- -$9.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.3
- Potential payout
- $32.32
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $3.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.47
- Potential profit
- $21.47
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$19.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- User PnL
- -$3.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 8PM ET
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9PM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.25
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 6AM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2AM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?No 88.6% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?No 88.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?Yes 88% 32.32 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?No 94% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?No 94.8% 42.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?No 72% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?No 71.1% 22 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 4?No 71% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?No 99.6% 176.96 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?No 99% 56.96 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?No 98% 120 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 2?No 99.8% 95.9 shares