bbxiang

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $999.7
Potential profit: $986.71
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$23.51

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $242.74
Potential payout: $500.5
Potential profit: $257.76
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$28.92

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$66.25

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $183.68
Potential payout: $328
Potential profit: $144.32
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $17.68

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $222.61
Potential payout: $265.01
Potential profit: $42.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$18.55

No position

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $184.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $196.7
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $60.85
Potential payout: $199.51
Potential profit: $138.66
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $21.56

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $50.54
Potential payout: $198.18
Potential profit: $147.64
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.78

No position

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $168.58
Potential payout: $192.66
Potential profit: $24.08
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $139.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $15.3

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $39.65
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $90.35
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$43.55

No position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $121.65
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $57.15

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $127.57
Potential payout: $127.89
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $92.1
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $87.59
Potential payout: $100.1
Potential profit: $12.51
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $22.51

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100.02
Potential profit: $99.77
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$36.76

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$15.65

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $74.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $25.5
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $15.5

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $35.51
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $29.43
Potential payout: $31.24
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $3.32K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $878.72

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $758.98

No position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $751.11

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.19

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.77

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.57

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.22

No position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $342.82

Yes position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.86

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.02

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.95

Yes position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.58

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $199.62

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.78

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.29

No position

Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.55

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155.83

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.03

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?