Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $523.8
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $556.2
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$100.29
Polymarket Trader
Sigony
0xab350b12c5f4a3ea4261c7acb590c422f9cdc040
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $876.47
- Realized PnL
- $515.18
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $352.67
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $669.87
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $14.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.12
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 57.9% 913.15 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 34% 180 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 734.01 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 73.53 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.1% 962 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No 99.7% 954 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No 99.2% 530 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No 99.8% 943 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No 99.8% 12.39 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 99.1% 941.31 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 94.3% 941.31 shares