Polymarket Trader

FuturosImperfeitos

0xab3c21a8818c54199433f951eddc073f63494b3c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.17K
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $15.62
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.72K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$7.33

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $152.17
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $38.5
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $463.75
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $17.25

No position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $76.26
Potential payout: $371.99
Potential profit: $295.73
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $141.36
Potential payout: $304
Potential profit: $162.64
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $299.35
Potential profit: $295.91
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $141.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$42.4

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $109.59
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $50.4
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $15.92
Potential payout: $148.78
Potential profit: $132.86
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $35.32
Potential payout: $138.5
Potential profit: $103.18
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.4

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $68.99
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $50.99
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $73.14
Potential payout: $109.99
Potential profit: $36.85
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$5.45

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $90.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $49.95
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $40.05
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $9.45

No position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $55.98
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.72

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $44.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $32.01
Potential profit: $29.77
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $20.93
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$10.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.53

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.89

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.89

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.4

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.93

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.56

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.63

No position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $19.43

Yes position

Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

No position

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 15 shares
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44.8% 25 shares
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 72% 50 shares
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 0.6% 83.57 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 4.9% 93.73 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 6.1% 6.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 22% 100 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 71% 21.5 shares
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 73.1% 60.5 shares
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

No 2.8% 10 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 7.1% 66.5 shares