No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $5.72
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Polymarket Trader
jiangzhishu
0xab6ee7d55ebaa144a1ca20e5da4d048f320f943c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.32
- Realized PnL
- -$7.16
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Blue Jackets position
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Bucks position
Pacers vs. Bucks
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Sabres position
Stars vs. Sabres
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Magic
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Bucks position
Suns vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.46
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.74
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?Yes 68% 2.78 shares
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 32% 3.84 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 46.6% 6.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 1.72 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No 78% 2.56 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 47% 5.72 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 7.93 shares
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes 51% 2.59 shares
- Stars vs. SabresSabres 43% 2.6 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No 57% 2.12 shares
- Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 38% 7.29 shares
- Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets 46% 4.65 shares