Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $496.8
- Potential profit
- $478.92
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Polymarket Trader
0xab80...af18
0xab808c7843f0aa810d998ec14b7b81b7d010af18
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $759.85
- Realized PnL
- $2.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $44.95
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $265.05
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $228.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$21.25
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $31
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $169
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $186.87
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $112.88
Y
Yes position
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $75.74
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.92
N
No position
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $52
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $28
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $53.55
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $16.45
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $54.28
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $10.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $53.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $44.93
- Potential payout
- $57.98
- Potential profit
- $13.04
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $36.45
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $1.4
N
No position
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $48.72
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $22.04
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $15.96
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $466.73
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.21
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.9
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.13
Yes position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.98
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.87
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.95
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.82
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.94
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.68
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.42
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.82
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.58
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.84
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.25
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.83
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $20.63
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No 63.6% 80 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 92.1% 54 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 3.5% 496.8 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes 15.4% 310 shares
- Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No 89% 56 shares
- Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 19.7% 100 shares
- Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Yes 13.8% 134 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes 17% 250 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No 40% 78 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 74% 50 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 60% 20 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 78% 65 shares