Yes position
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $102.28
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$226.04
Polymarket Trader
LeDrillenisse
0xab8b02bf669e5afbcde97c4cd24e8d83a804488d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.75
- Realized PnL
- $68.99
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.9
- Potential profit
- $958.9
- User PnL
- -$207.08
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Current value
- $200.83
- Potential payout
- $699.76
- Potential profit
- $498.93
- Multiplier
- 3.48x
- User PnL
- -$10.95
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.94
- Potential profit
- $503.94
- User PnL
- -$300.5
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $41.59
- Potential payout
- $361.62
- Potential profit
- $320.03
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.42
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $65.68
- Potential profit
- $56.84
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.22
- Potential payout
- $64.97
- Potential profit
- $60.74
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.24
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $13.71
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.02
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.97
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 13% 361.62 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 49% 29.21 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 33% 29.21 shares
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 24% 65.68 shares
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 11.1% 64.97 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 42.1% 30 shares
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?No 63.7% 157.7 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes 28.4% 176.29 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes 21.3% 268.03 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes 19.8% 253 shares
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Yes 19.1% 261.58 shares