Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
UrsulaThornewood
0xab8f64a6daa8de0799a9c4c7995f8e62ff004142
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.84
- Realized PnL
- $329.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $8.36
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $8.42
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.77
Under position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 86.5% 10.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 83.1% 8.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 87.8% 10.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 81% 7.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp 51% 98.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 50% 120 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown 50% 80 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETUp 51% 19.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 51% 98.04 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?No 90% 16.67 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 21.74 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles AngelsToronto Blue Jays 52% 369.8 shares