No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $181.85
- Potential payout
- $188.54
- Potential profit
- $6.69
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Polymarket Trader
nvnfhrt
0xaba498fd88ab7b3e4c7614147d17108fc9edf153
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $342.25
- Realized PnL
- $314.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $160.4
- Potential payout
- $161.78
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.56
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.19
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin September 9-15?
Ends Sep 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will Solana reach $340 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will BNB reach $1200 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 96% 188.54 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.9% 161.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.4% 160.97 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.2% 171.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.9% 166.84 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99% 202.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.4% 126.53 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports 99.4% 178.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 84.9% 153.12 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96.6% 124.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?No 98.1% 124.13 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 45.9% 251.5 shares