No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- -$85.8
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-3
0xaba515090efe6483a0768cf28d456c7e17dcae05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $49.64
- Realized PnL
- -$7.45
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $49.64
- Potential payout
- $198.56
- Potential profit
- $148.92
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.6
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.46x
- User PnL
- $50.6
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$70.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 33% 260 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?No 58% 270 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 58% 270 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 50% 270 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 68% 250 shares
- Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes 32% 116.32 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 50 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 50 shares