Polymarket Trader

0xaBb9Cf8064E99D3eEfa54eb25dcE6875f908131a-1730585756894

0xabb9cf8064e99d3eefa54eb25dce6875f908131a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $137.72
Realized PnL: $232.43
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $827.34
Potential profit: $827.34
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.18
Potential profit: $724.18
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $30.02
Potential payout: $154.32
Potential profit: $124.31
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.37
Potential profit: $147.37
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.78
Potential profit: $146.78
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Elon's daughter move out of the U.S.?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $101.11
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $54.46
Potential payout: $92.31
Potential profit: $37.85
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Macron out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $18.29
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $37.89
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Iran strike on Israel before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $24.95
Potential payout: $40.57
Potential profit: $15.62
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.07

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Yes position

Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 61% 40.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Up 81% 24.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 4?

Yes 85.9% 40.76 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.6% 56.18 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 154.32 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 54.5% 146.78 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 6% 827.34 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 56.9% 84.3 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 52% 92.31 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 6.9% 724.18 shares
Macron out in 2025?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares