Polymarket Trader

fiona33

0xabc20b469966e9be86ed3bd0d6c4b402d895c5dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.29
Realized PnL: $267.03
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $42.28
Potential payout: $44.76
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $25.99
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $20.54
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $17.43
Potential profit: $16.93
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.64

No position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $7.21
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $6.2
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $5.72
Potential payout: $5.77
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $5.2
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

No position

Swell airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Linea airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Zircuit airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Circle IPO in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Vivo Keyd Stars position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.5% 41.4 shares
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

T1 98% 27.76 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Top Esports 99% 544.45 shares
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Top Esports 45% 44.45 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Vivo Keyd Stars 7% 48.19 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Vivo Keyd Stars 7.9% 27.56 shares
Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Yes 27% 15 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

No 97.7% 15.2 shares
TikTok sale announced before April?

No 47% 7.44 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

No 70% 5 shares
Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Yes 70% 10 shares
Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Yes 69% 5 shares