Polymarket Trader

temmms

0xabcfa8ca1aa1c06c8e239c817e20a98221f34cfc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $167.23
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $14.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.25
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.28
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $31.75
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$12.75

Yes position

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.88
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

No position

Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $23.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $26.75
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.75
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Nito Abreu win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $21.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $28.38
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.7
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.5% in June?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 87.7%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $7.44
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $6.96
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trail Blazers position

Warriors vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.2

Magic position

Suns vs. Magic

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: Valinor vs L1ga Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

Brewers position

Brewers vs. Cubs

Ends Jun 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

No position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Hornets

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

MetaMask airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Solana hit $210 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 60.9% 50 shares
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Yes 48.6% 50 shares
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?

Yes 35% 50 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 21% 50 shares
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 20 shares
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?

Yes 60% 50 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

No 86% 50 shares
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Yes 39% 2 shares
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 8% 50 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 96% 50 shares
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

No 70% 20 shares
Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2

No 73.5% 20 shares