Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Lia1m
0xabe046fd7fdc478c570b85fe1a4303666c6e12e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 32.26 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.1% 42.51 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 40.2 shares
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 40.2 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.6% 40.44 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.9% 40.44 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 40.16 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.6% 40.16 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No 99.9% 40.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.5% 40.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 99.7% 40.12 shares