Polymarket Trader

MugiwaraDLuffy

0xabe979e2c1e2815c8168c406adb4cb95258c00b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.71
Realized PnL: -$26.78
Win rate: 12.5%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $500.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.5
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $334.82
Potential profit: $323.6
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $259.69
Potential profit: $244.24
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.12
Potential profit: $157.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126.88
Potential profit: $126.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $71.74
Potential profit: $71.2
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.8
Potential profit: $37.8
User PnL: -$5.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 1.4% 71.74 shares
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.2% 156.25 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 79.37 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 178.57 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 180.33 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 78.08 shares
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.8% 126.88 shares
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 79.04 shares
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 900.1 shares