Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $147.25
- Potential payout
- $172.22
- Potential profit
- $24.97
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.75
Polymarket Trader
Mansfeld
@PRod75155157
0xabf56a740b01dbc3e90645f7f59b2a5ea07f4e00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.34
- Realized PnL
- $116.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.35
- Potential profit
- $29.35
- User PnL
- -$27
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $12.09
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.44
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $7.17
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No 97.2% 12.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 172.22 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96.9% 116.62 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 62% 24.19 shares
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 92% 29.35 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 14% 31.81 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 77.8% 38.56 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 69% 28.07 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 83% 28.92 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?No 86% 17.44 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?No 94.8% 15.82 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes 66% 31.82 shares